October 23, 2019
CFA Webinar | How to model a trade war
Constant fears of escalating trade wars between the US on one side and China and the European Union on the other, have been keeping financial markets on tenterhooks for more than 2.5 years now says Christoph Schon, CFA, Executive Director of Applied Research, Axioma. Despite occasional periods of optimism, each setback immediately resulted in the familiar pattern of flight to quality: from stocks into bonds and from dollar into yen and Swiss franc.
In Europe, the fragile German economy with its heavy reliance on the all-important automobile sector tends to be hit disproportionally hard. Asian carmakers with a more regional focus, on the other hand, may actually benefit.
In this webinar, Christoph shows in a number of case studies how such scenarios can be modelled, using a mix of portfolio risk analysis and stress testing tools.
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