Stress Testing the US Presidential Election: A framework for quantifying market reaction to an unpredictable outcome
With the US presidential election now less than seven weeks away, many clients have been asking us how to forecast market returns ahead of this pivotal event.
Want to know what’s in store for the global economy? Don’t look to the US stock market…
The “recovery” of US blue-chip stock indices is cited as an indication that investors are betting on a swift, “V-shaped” global recovery. Yet, almost all other markets seem to be telling a very different story.
Stressed-Out Dividend Yield Strategies Could Leave Some Wiggle Room in Your Risk Budget
Active strategies that tilt on dividend yield have suffered during the pandemic. Dividend yield ETFs have underperformed the broader US market, while their active risk has surged.
Current Nagging Concerns—and One Bit of Good News—for Active Managers in the US
The US market hit an all-time high this week. So are we finally out of the volatility woods? Not by a longshot.